Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.002901 0.003186 0.003490 0.003838 0.004227 0.004648 0.005140
2026-02-01 0.002426 0.002828 0.003287 0.003851 0.004529 0.005322 0.006324
2026-02-08 0.002117 0.002569 0.003107 0.003802 0.004681 0.005765 0.007216
2026-02-15 0.001880 0.002352 0.002937 0.003722 0.004756 0.006087 0.007956
2026-02-22 0.001734 0.002230 0.002862 0.003740 0.004940 0.006547 0.008901
2026-03-01 0.001646 0.002168 0.002856 0.003838 0.005229 0.007161 0.010107
2026-03-08 0.001515 0.002038 0.002741 0.003775 0.005281 0.007439 0.010849
2026-03-15 0.001399 0.001918 0.002630 0.003702 0.005307 0.007675 0.011538
2026-03-22 0.001313 0.001831 0.002559 0.003678 0.005397 0.008005 0.012400
2026-03-29 0.001255 0.001781 0.002533 0.003717 0.005581 0.008490 0.013549
2026-04-05 0.001178 0.001695 0.002450 0.003660 0.005608 0.008725 0.014302
2026-04-12 0.001110 0.001620 0.002377 0.003613 0.005646 0.008975 0.015100
2026-04-19 0.001043 0.001544 0.002301 0.003561 0.005680 0.009238 0.015979
2026-04-26 0.000996 0.001496 0.002265 0.003573 0.005823 0.009702 0.017283
2026-05-03 0.000940 0.001432 0.002199 0.003528 0.005863 0.009986 0.018278
2026-05-10 0.000884 0.001362 0.002120 0.003454 0.005844 0.010161 0.019077
2026-05-17 0.000850 0.001327 0.002095 0.003471 0.005988 0.010645 0.020548
2026-05-24 0.000833 0.001318 0.002112 0.003561 0.006273 0.011420 0.022716
2026-05-31 0.000790 0.001263 0.002048 0.003503 0.006273 0.011642 0.023727
2026-06-07 0.000748 0.001210 0.001983 0.003436 0.006252 0.011818 0.024654
2026-06-14 0.000717 0.001172 0.001943 0.003414 0.006315 0.012168 0.026018
2026-06-21 0.000698 0.001152 0.001934 0.003450 0.006494 0.012776 0.028059
2026-06-28 0.000666 0.001110 0.001882 0.003397 0.006491 0.012993 0.029189